📈 Stocks & Economy🇮🇳 India
Strait of Hormuz Disruption Could Last Into 2027, Traders Predict — India's Energy Bill Is at Risk
Finance·Saturday, 11 July 2026
Prediction market traders on Kalshi now see only a 43% chance that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by December 1. The latest setback pushes the recovery timeline potentially into 2027. US-Iran tensions are cited as a key driver of the disruption.
Why It Matters
India imports a large share of its crude oil through the Strait of Hormuz, so a prolonged blockage directly threatens energy costs and could stoke inflation at the pump and in kitchens.
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